Forecaster sees conditions growing for Atlantic hurricanes
 

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iwabwu PostPosted: Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:22 pm

Forecaster sees conditions growing for Atlantic hurricanes

Updated Thursday, August 2, 2007 at 2:12 pm
Bloomberg News

WeatherBug, the owner of 8,000 weather-monitoring stations in the U.S., said it’s still calling for an above-average storm season in the Atlantic Basin because conditions are becoming conducive for hurricanes to develop.

Two months into the six-month storm season, the forecaster still expects seven to nine hurricanes, Joe Bartosik, senior meteorologist for Germantown, Maryland-based WeatherBug, said today in a telephone interview. Conditions substantiate the earlier prediction for 50 percent more hurricane activity than normal, he said, including storms in the Gulf of Mexico.

Those conditions include development of a cold-water area in the Equatorial Pacific called “La Nina,” which creates a weather pattern above it that tends to suck storms into the Gulf, and ocean temperatures that are 2 to 3 degrees above normal, Bartosik said. Temperatures were 5 degrees above normal during the 2005 storm season, when Hurricanes Katrina and Rita shut down most oil and natural-gas production in the Gulf and did an estimated $17 billion in damage to energy infrastructure.

A tropical wave located 100 miles (161 kilometers) east of Aruba has winds of 55 miles per hour and could organize into a tropical storm within the next two days, Bartosik said.

http://www.delawareonline.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20070802/NEWS/70802047

Anyone in Aruba notice an increase in the wind speed?
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WangChung PostPosted: Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:24 pm

Re: Forecaster sees conditions growing for Atlantic hurrican

iwabwu wrote:
Updated Thursday, August 2, 2007 at 2:12 pm
Bloomberg News

WeatherBug, the owner of 8,000 weather-monitoring stations in the U.S., said it’s still calling for an above-average storm season in the Atlantic Basin because conditions are becoming conducive for hurricanes to develop.

Two months into the six-month storm season, the forecaster still expects seven to nine hurricanes, Joe Bartosik, senior meteorologist for Germantown, Maryland-based WeatherBug, said today in a telephone interview. Conditions substantiate the earlier prediction for 50 percent more hurricane activity than normal, he said, including storms in the Gulf of Mexico.

Those conditions include development of a cold-water area in the Equatorial Pacific called “La Nina,” which creates a weather pattern above it that tends to suck storms into the Gulf, and ocean temperatures that are 2 to 3 degrees above normal, Bartosik said. Temperatures were 5 degrees above normal during the 2005 storm season, when Hurricanes Katrina and Rita shut down most oil and natural-gas production in the Gulf and did an estimated $17 billion in damage to energy infrastructure.

A tropical wave located 100 miles (161 kilometers) east of Aruba has winds of 55 miles per hour and could organize into a tropical storm within the next two days, Bartosik said.

http://www.delawareonline.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20070802/NEWS/70802047

Anyone in Aruba notice an increase in the wind speed?


Fuck off and quit polluting this board with your drivel. Very Happy
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woodville PostPosted: Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:24 pm

I thought the only hurricane that ever landed on Aruba was named Beth.




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iwabwu PostPosted: Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:26 pm

I was thinking maybe the hurricane was keeping people away from the internet tonight.

It's been hot in my neighborhood. 90's all week!
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WangChung PostPosted: Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:29 pm

iwabwu wrote:
I was thinking maybe the hurricane was keeping people away from the internet tonight.

It's been hot in my neighborhood. 90's all week!


Fuck off and quit polluting this board with your drivel. Very Happy
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padpradasha PostPosted: Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:31 pm

woodville wrote:
I thought the only hurricane that ever landed on Aruba was named Beth.


Katrina! Blew Rita Cosby back to reality! HaHaHa! Laughing
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resigned PostPosted: Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:32 pm

Click your heels together...



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woodville PostPosted: Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:32 pm

padpradasha wrote:
woodville wrote:
I thought the only hurricane that ever landed on Aruba was named Beth.


Katrina! Blew Rita Cosby back to reality! HaHaHa! Laughing


Poor Rita - she always seemed to be in the wrong place at the wrong time. Very Happy




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padpradasha PostPosted: Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:42 pm

woodville wrote:
padpradasha wrote:
woodville wrote:
I thought the only hurricane that ever landed on Aruba was named Beth.


Katrina! Blew Rita Cosby back to reality! HaHaHa! Laughing


Poor Rita - she always seemed to be in the wrong place at the wrong time. Very Happy


Wonder if she's paid any visits to her old buddy Joe M? Laughing

Nothing like a dried egg omlette!
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charlierat PostPosted: Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:49 pm

Nice try, Wabbi. Good thing Aruba lies outside the Caribbean hurricane belt.
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woodville PostPosted: Thu Aug 02, 2007 8:56 pm

padpradasha wrote:

Wonder if she's paid any visits to her old buddy Joe M? Laughing

Nothing like a dried egg omlette!


I think Rita's busy trying to cover her ass in the Deb Opri scandal right now to visit Joe. But I bet his mamma visits him regularly. Very Happy




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iwabwu PostPosted: Thu Aug 02, 2007 9:25 pm

charlierat wrote:
Nice try, Wabbi. Good thing Aruba lies outside the Caribbean hurricane belt.


I suspect that is another media tool.

Call it anything but a hurricane.

They do that here with the tornados. 50 years ago, we called it a tornado when bad weather happened. Now, they call it a microburst, etc...anything but 'tornado'.

I was hoping for a local report.
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MF PostPosted: Thu Aug 02, 2007 10:35 pm

Statistically Aruba get a direct hit of Hurricane once every 100 years, so technically lying outside the Hurricane is not 100% accurate, but the last direct hit we had was back in the 1800's. Eversince, all hurricanes on route to Aruba took a turn just few hours before getting to the island.

Every year the island prepares itself for a possibilty of a direct hit, and even the indirect hits, what we called the outerbands hitting the island, had made some major water damages in the past. The worst ones were back in the 1950's. Few years ago we also had some kind of effect of a Hurricane that passed by, but like in the past, only water damages. That was Hurricane Ivan, where the island had 2 days to prepare itself.

Since then the government made several changes and constructed new "riolering" which has been proven helpful during heavy rains.

Regarding the tropical depression that was on route to Aruba, the island has been on notice since early this morning and constantly updated by the Meteo on the radio and TV. Before Noon, NHC sent a plane in the area to give a more detailed information and by then the depression has moved to the North, and not giving us one single drop of rain, while in Bonaire in a few hours it rained over 17 inches.


Last edited by MF on Thu Aug 02, 2007 10:47 pm; edited 1 time in total
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resigned PostPosted: Thu Aug 02, 2007 10:41 pm

iwabwu wrote:
charlierat wrote:
Nice try, Wabbi. Good thing Aruba lies outside the Caribbean hurricane belt.


I suspect that is another media tool.

Call it anything but a hurricane.

They do that here with the tornados. 50 years ago, we called it a tornado when bad weather happened. Now, they call it a microburst, etc...anything but 'tornado'.

I was hoping for a local report.


Are you concerned about the "location" of the container? Sad

Perhaps Timmy will decide to cancel?
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Trixie PostPosted: Thu Aug 02, 2007 10:46 pm

MF wrote:
Statistically Aruba get a direct hit of Hurricane once every 100 years, so technically lying outside the Hurricane is not 100% accurate, but the last direct hit we had was back in the 1800's. Eversince, all hurricanes on route to Aruba took turn just few hours before getting to the island.

Every year the island prepares itself for a possibilty of a direct hit, and even the not direct hits, what we called the outerbands hitting the island, had made some major water damages. The worst ones were back in the 1950's. Few years ago we also had some kind of effect of a Hurrican that passed by, but as in the past, only water damages.

Since then the government made several changes and constructed new "riolering" which has been proven helpful during heavy rains.

Regarding the tropical depression that was on route to Aruba, the island has been on notice since early this morning and constantly updated by the Meteo on the radio and TV. Before Noon, NHC sent a plane in the area to give a more detailed information and by then the depression has moved to the North, and not giving us one single drop of rain, while in Bonaire in a few hours it rained over 17 inches.


Glad it passed by Aruba. I sure hope it doesn't follow the path of Katrina! A direct hit to New Orleans is one of those 100 year things, too, I think..... at least I hope!




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padpradasha PostPosted: Thu Aug 02, 2007 10:51 pm

iwabwu wrote:
charlierat wrote:
Nice try, Wabbi. Good thing Aruba lies outside the Caribbean hurricane belt.


I suspect that is another media tool.

Call it anything but a hurricane.

They do that here with the tornados. 50 years ago, we called it a tornado when bad weather happened. Now, they call it a microburst, etc...anything but 'tornado'.

I was hoping for a local report.


I live in the US and they still call them tornadoes here. No "microburst" warnings or watches. What country are you in? Wink
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MF PostPosted: Thu Aug 02, 2007 10:52 pm

Yes, unfortunately New Orleans is under sealevel, which made it even worse. Usually the hurricanes "on route" to Aruba turns North and I think it's thanks to the landmass to our South (mountains). Not sure about that, but every single Hurricanes routes that I've seen seems to go to the North just before getting near the ABC islands.

In the 50's, when he had a major hurricane passing nearby and left a lot of damages, it passed by from the west. I think it was Hazel.
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woebedamned PostPosted: Thu Aug 02, 2007 11:12 pm

padpradasha wrote:
iwabwu wrote:
charlierat wrote:
Nice try, Wabbi. Good thing Aruba lies outside the Caribbean hurricane belt.


I suspect that is another media tool.

Call it anything but a hurricane.

They do that here with the tornados. 50 years ago, we called it a tornado when bad weather happened. Now, they call it a microburst, etc...anything but 'tornado'.

I was hoping for a local report.


I live in the US and they still call them tornadoes here. No "microburst" warnings or watches. What country are you in? Wink


We get tornadoes here also. Every year we have several warnings and watches, as well as actual touch downs. I have never heard a broadcast saying we are under a "microburst" warning or watch.
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resigned PostPosted: Thu Aug 02, 2007 11:22 pm

I've heard of watching the Wizard of Oz on purple microdot acid.

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padpradasha PostPosted: Thu Aug 02, 2007 11:53 pm

resigned wrote:
I've heard of watching the Wizard of Oz on purple microdot acid.



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BhamMom PostPosted: Fri Aug 03, 2007 12:00 am

I don't know about watching the Wizard of Oz on purple microdot acid but I have seen floor tiles jump up and down on them. Dang near hit me in the face, too. Embarassed
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